Replacing injured players seems like a daily routine for Fantasy Baseball players in 2013, as if it is perhaps the process of setting your lineup each morning. Giancarlo Stanton pulled your partner's hamstring; another infielder suffered yet another intercostal injury (whatever this is); Jason Motte, Gavin Floyd and a few others have already gone through Tommy John surgery.
The rash of wounds in Fantasy baseball produced me wonder if the quantity of injuries are actually all the way up, or if it just seems like this because I've had to shuffle lineups on concerning team I own.
So that i Scratched the Surface. I took the Key League Baseball disabled list information in the previous three seasons, considering players who were apply to the disabled list with May 7 each period (including during spring training). Can do for you the numbers said:
Right now, obviously not every DL person is Fantasy relevant and in several ways the disabled list has grown to be an extension of that major league roster, giving clubs additional flexibility. But we do find out an 18 percent increase altogether DL stints from 2011, along with an 11 percent improve in DL injuries from last season. In-season DL injuries jumped 21 percent this year from last, yet are steady as compared with 2011. We would say "yes" to your question as to whether there was more injuries this time of year, but we need to search a little closer.
These are the most usual injuries from this season. The elbow and shoulder ailments account for 82 of the 186 (44 percent), which amounts to just a huge percentage. So we compared which data with early season injuries through the last two seasons. Here's what turned up:
Well, we were right; the elbow and shoulder joint injuries are significantly high, and seem to get in on a possible growing movement. In 2011, they accounted for 27 percent at all DL stints through May 7; in 2012 that will number was 39 pct of DL-related injuries. All the categories of injury have been fairly consistent, though they are generally higher in 2013 general.
Specifically, we see a 114 percent jump in elbow injuries from 2011 together with a 67 percent hike in shoulder injuries that necessary a DL stint.
We tend to imagine PEDs and HGH along with "juicing" – Jose Canseco, Indicate McGwire, etc. But more pitchers than hitters have received suspensions for illegal drug use nowadays.
And, obviously, the major elbow and shoulder injuries fit in with pitchers. Orel Hershiser told ESPN That Magazine in 2011 "A 32-year-old pitcher using steroids can jump back a decade's in time. A 32-year-old becomes similar to a 22-year-old, because of your recovery. Plus, he gets the benefit from recovering fast enough for you to lift weights, so he's got additional strength and advanced recovery between starts. "
If pitchers are generally using PEDs in huge numbers, and the Biogenesis state of affairs has threatened to reveal several users, this increase in elbow and shoulder injuries would understand. It is pure supposition, but these numbers give us reason to remain scratching and perhaps receive a Deep Dive into the matter of elbow, shoulder and other arm injuries in a majors.
We've been hinting since spring training of which pitching is harder to be able to forecast than hitting. When ever teammates Matt Cain and additionally Tim Lincecum have matching underlying sabermetric statistics from 2012, yet came away with very different results, that alone should inform you of that identifying this year's Cy Young winner can be a crap shoot.
As the bodies mount within the 2013 season, we will continue to look at the numbers and the type of the injuries to see when there is more to the report. In the meantime, set off drop your fourth-string MI for another starting pitcher. The moment Scherzer feels a tingle inside his shoulder Memorial Daytime weekend, you'll be ecstatic you did.
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